Have Labour Given Up?

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From tomorrow, postal Votes will start dropping for St Neots and Mid Cambs, and people will start casting their votes to elect an MP.
Since about 21% of voters are postal voters, conventional canvassing wisdom says that you get your votes out before the postal votes arrive, because after that canvassing is 79% effective.
I conducted a Facebook Poll in one of the St Neots Facebook groups, asking which candidate people had received literature from in the four weeks since the election was announced.
The results are surprising. The Lib Dems and I have leafletted the whole of St Neots (and in the Lib Dem case multiple times). The Conservatives haven’t managed to leaflet everyone, and Labour and the other parties don’t seem to have leafletted anyone.
By the weekend, I will have delivered 75k leaflets to the 50k addresses in the new constituency (half of all properties should receive two leaflets), which isn’t bad considering that we started from scratch four weeks ago.
Of course, the results might be slightly different elsewhere in the constituency, as different candidates will have different targets. Although I am confident that almost everyone should have received one of my leaflets.
Equally, St Neots is a key battleground, so there are lots of resources being targeted here.
Conclusions:
  1. Only Ian Sollom and I are really fighting a constituency-wide campaign
  2. The Conservatives don’t seem to have enough feet on the ground to get a leaflet out to everyone.
  3. Labour isn’t really contesting this seat. I think they’ve given up.
To be fair to Guy, the Reform leaflets are starting to be delivered from tomorrow. But it’s still pretty poor logistics to get them out after the postal votes have landed.